The Conservative Party performed half as well with non-white voters as with white voters in the 2017 General Election, according to available polling data on the ethnic minority vote. Bridging that ‘ethnic minority voting gap’ would have secured Theresa May a comfortable majority.
‘Mind the gap: How the ethnic minority vote cost Theresa May her majority,’ projects what would have happened if the Conservatives had extended its appeal to ethnic minority voters. Distributing these votes according to the ethnic make-up of each constituency, the analysis offers a hypothetical picture of how increased ‘minority appeal’ would have translated into seats.
The report explores why ethnic minority voters turned away from Theresa May’s party in 2017 and offers lessons for the future.
It finds finds that:
With 14% of MPs from ethnic minority groups, this parliament is now ethnically representative of the people that elected it. I've been writing about candidate selection over the last year for @britishfuture. This group photo brings to life my research.
NEW
Government not to renew contract for Bibby Stockholm barge for asylum seekers. Will continue to be used until January 2025, home office say it would have cost £20million for another year
@LBC
We costed the Rwanda scheme back in March:
Costs included:
💰 Up-front fixed costs of £370m
💰 £120m once 300 people were relocated
💰 £20,000 for each person relocated as part of ETIF
💰 Up to £150,874 per person for asylum processing & integration
💰
My column on Biden's departure & Kamala Harris's all but certain candidacy in America's most volatile election since 1968. Trump is favourite - but predictions the failed assassination would boost him did not materialise & show why he could still lose
📢We’re delighted to share that today we have published our most recent report #FindingASafeHome, focussing on the UK’s response to displaced Ukrainians and learnings for solutions to refugee accommodation.
Read it below 👇
List of PPS appointments. Lots of the most high profile new MPs on there.
Torsten Bell to the Cabinet Office
Imogen Walker (Morgan McSweeney's other half) to the Treasury
Liam Conlon (Sue Gray's son) to Transport.
Congratulations @kimleadbeater - an inspired choice to join the @DCMS team as pps, given the bridging potential of culture & sport in so many ways
"The clock is now ticking toward the next Euros, when football will quite literally come home"
Our @jake_puddle asks how #Euro2028 – hosted in the UK & Ireland – can harness the connecting power of football to create a more inclusive sense of 'us'.
https://www.britishfuture.org/euro-2028-can-bring-people-together/
"Reform’s ‘marmite’ appeal in 2024 is strikingly similar to that of UKIP almost a decade ago," writes @sundersays for @ConHome on our new @focaldataHQ research into public views of Nigel Farage's insurgent party
Sunder Katwala: Reform must work much harder to root out racist candidates if it to win public...
At present, it speaks for a particular section of the electorate whilst leaving many voters deeply ambivalent about ...
conservativehome.com
“I can show my face, I can speak... I am taking part in the history of my generation.” Hong Kongers in the UK value new freedoms, but some are struggling to find decent work as they build new lives here, writes @TheEconomist