The Conservative Party performed half as well with non-white voters as with white voters in the 2017 General Election, according to available polling data on the ethnic minority vote. Bridging that ‘ethnic minority voting gap’ would have secured Theresa May a comfortable majority.
‘Mind the gap: How the ethnic minority vote cost Theresa May her majority,’ projects what would have happened if the Conservatives had extended its appeal to ethnic minority voters. Distributing these votes according to the ethnic make-up of each constituency, the analysis offers a hypothetical picture of how increased ‘minority appeal’ would have translated into seats.
The report explores why ethnic minority voters turned away from Theresa May’s party in 2017 and offers lessons for the future.
It finds finds that: